Round 7 has not seen any tectonic changes and much of the previous analysis still stands. Singapore, New Zealand, Australia now have 7 wins and, as before, are certain to break.
England, Mexico, South Africa, Peru, the Netherlands, Ireland, Slovenia and Greece are all also certain to break at this point having picked up 6 wins. Hong Kong and Swaziland are predicted to join them on 6 wins, although a lack of results prevent confirmation of this.
The remaining 3 slots will likely see a mixture of teams on 6 wins and others on 5 wins. The UAE, Canada and India might all end with 6 wins. The more likely event is that a further 1 or 2 teams will managed 6 wins, leaving between 1 or 2 spots for teams on 5 wins. This expands the likely pool to include Pakistan, Malaysia, Wales. Nevertheless, this will be an extremely tight squeeze in terms of those last few slots. 5 win and 16 ballots seems to be what is necessary to have a chance to break, a bar that will prove difficult for Lithuania, Scotland and Korea.
Pakistan is a particularly interest case of all or none. The enter Round 8 with 3 wins and 11 ballots. If they win R8 against the Philippines, they will end with 4/14. Given their forfeited debate with Nigeria, this will leave them with. 5/16. If they lose, they will have on only 3/11 and fall much lower down the tab than other teams. Peru have since made the knock-out rounds on a similar basis.